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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
black-rabbitferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (434–389, n=823)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)47% (1389–1566, n=2955)
Consensus PnL$402K-$9.5M$1.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #712was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #39
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)72% (92 of 128 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won57% of 712 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 4% of 197)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 24% of 119)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 86% of 168)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 228)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketblack-rabbitferrariChampions2026Flaznorpprimm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Matsuyama: Sho Katayama vs Shintaro Imai
opposite sides · consensus Shintaro Imai
—Sho Katayama $75Shintaro Imai $1.3K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $71KCoco Gauff $3.1K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—