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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
black-rabbitferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)53% (434–390, n=824)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$414K-$9.4M$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #717was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)70% (91 of 130 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won57% of 712 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 4% of 197)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 24% of 119)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 86% of 168)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 99% of 228)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketblack-rabbitferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius
opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius
—Oleksii Krutykh $5Oskari Paldanius $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $7.1KUgo Humbert $591—