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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (120–125, n=245)46% (560–667, n=1227)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$15K$9.4M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #2PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)63% (17 of 27 open)55% (109 of 199 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 60)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 201)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $31KPelicans $126
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $121
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $1.5KCeltics $8.7K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $983Pistons $204K—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Under $238
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $206—Over $87
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $66Hawks $128