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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (120–125, n=245)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$15K$11.2M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)55% (12 of 22 open)no open consensus position67% (142 of 213 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=59, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 106 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 100% of 58)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 100% of 46)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $63K—Yes $20K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2K—Yes $96
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Under $119
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $206——Over $89