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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6399–5911, n=12310)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (260–294, n=554)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.3M-$139K
Tracked as—PM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #20
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (151 of 197 open)no open consensus position72% (13 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Heat $11K—Clippers $4
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $76—Spurs $9.9K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $836—Over $6.4K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Under $4.3K
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $322—Spurs $3.9K
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $4
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $884—Over $32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $135—No $35K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $2.0K—Kings $17K
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $87—Clippers $4.7K
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Over $131
Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $159—Under $998