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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
auros2BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)95% (38–2, n=40)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)
Consensus PnL$11K$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #269PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus63% (166 of 262 open)88% (29 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)72% (89 of 124 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketauros2BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15Yes $24K——
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
——Alafia Ayeni $234Edward Winter $4.8K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $12Joel Schwaerzler $2.3K
Matsuyama: Keegan Smith vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu
opposite sides · consensus Yu-Hsiou Hsu
——Yu-Hsiou Hsu $299Keegan Smith $185
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $425K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $165Yes $306K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Liam Broady $1.3KLiam Broady $623
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K