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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SunflowaRebuildYearbeachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (514–627, n=1141)49% (839–863, n=1702)
Consensus PnL$7.1K$5.8M$10.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #464was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #143
Sides with the consensus67% (10 of 15 open)100% (2 of 2 open)70% (28 of 40 open)81% (13 of 16 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 795 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)35% (won 98% of 181)41% (won 99% of 325)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 51% of 115)34% (won 99% of 176)49% (won 99% of 390)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 105)5% (won 100% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSunflowaRebuildYearbeachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $598—Packers $245KPackers $1.2K
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $909——Over $9.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $52——Over $7.5K
Spread: Packers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $500——Packers $2.0K
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $532——Panthers $2.5K
Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $560——Florida Atlantic $2.4K