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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NM-P | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (5436–1150, n=6586) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $47K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #522 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (55 of 81 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) | 54% (40 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 100% of 256) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 859) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 884) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 51% (won 100% of 2087) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NM-P | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | James Madison $573 | James Madison $2.2K | Southern Miss $245 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $4 | Jaguars $2.0K |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | Over $227 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Jaguars $320 | — | Ravens $1.2K |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $698 | Under $419 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $599 | Over $413 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $240 | — | Warriors $520 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $32 | — | No $226 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens same side · consensus Jaguars | Jaguars $1.8K | — | Jaguars $5.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Jaguars $422 | — | Jaguars $166 |
| Spread: James Madison (-16.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | — | James Madison $450 | James Madison $95 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $168 | — | Under $326 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-13.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $37 | — | Ravens $380 |
| Spread: James Madison (-13.5) same side · consensus James Madison | Southern Miss $194 | — | Southern Miss $41 |