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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Multicoloured-Serfndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)47% (271–305, n=576)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL-$154K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #28PM monthly #92PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)73% (53 of 73 open)52% (16 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢47% (won 100% of 100)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 101)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMulticoloured-Serfndb1RN1
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $15K—Warriors $510
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $122—Warriors $108
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $727—Under $245