PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JoeytheRealRN1sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)39% (14–22, n=36)48% (12107–12933, n=25040)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (13594–13723, n=27317)
Consensus PnL-$78$13.4M$4.4M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #954PM monthly #14 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)78% (18 of 23 open)no open consensus position71% (15 of 21 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2478)0%8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5361)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8705)50% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7425)0%32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJoeytheRealRN1sainttroplayomnibus-076daa
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev
opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $383——Cameron Norrie $48K
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Alex Michelsen $4.0K—Alex Michelsen $34
Modern SC vs. El Ahly SC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $423—Under $51
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3—No $40
M25 Malta: Philip Henning vs Dmitry Popko
same side · consensus Dmitry Popko
—Dmitry Popko $5—Dmitry Popko $6