Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1ojgprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)63% (993–578, n=1571)no settled market50% (1144–1155, n=2299)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$4.8M—$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #98was PM monthly #998PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus71% (294 of 414 open)72% (59 of 82 open)67% (2 of 3 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1ojgprimm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
Mika Brunold $7.5K—Borna Gojo $613—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $32KUnder $31K——
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $578Under $6.4K——
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
Hull City AFC $2.5KHull City AFC $2.9K——