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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpmadmartigan5primmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)no settled market49% (1224–1251, n=2475)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$4.1M—$3.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #895PM monthly #63PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus75% (239 of 318 open)no open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%88% of 50 at avg 38¢, ROI +52%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)30% (won 80% of 15)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)44% (won 86% of 22)41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)24% (won 100% of 12)49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpmadmartigan5primmS-Works
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $965—Notre Dame $185K—