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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1strider-
Record (consensus markets)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (992–576, n=1568)88% (72–10, n=82)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$3.2M$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #92PM monthly #756
Sides with the consensus77% (89 of 116 open)no open consensus position70% (52 of 74 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)15% (won 25% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)7% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)11% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)67% (won 100% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.