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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677madmartigan5primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (7654–6941, n=14595)43% (10–13, n=23)no settled market50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M—$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #8was PM monthly #954PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus73% (150 of 205 open)no open consensus position45% (9 of 20 open)75% (15 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 50 at avg 38¢, ROI +52%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)30% (won 80% of 15)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)44% (won 86% of 22)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 100% of 12)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677madmartigan5primm
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
Dolphins $165——Lions $47K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.5K——Chiefs $49K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $170——Colts $5.1K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $221——Commanders $247