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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677S-WorksZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)60% (7121–4739, n=11860)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$3.7M$59K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #73PM monthly #519
Sides with the consensus73% (141 of 194 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)70% (37 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%98% of 2377 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)7% (won 90% of 155)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)20% (won 96% of 481)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)34% (won 98% of 816)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)39% (won 100% of 925)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677S-WorksZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $18KYes $155
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $6
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $8
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Under $35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $9
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.6K——Over $85