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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpiammillionaireMD14Zzzz87
Record (consensus markets)71% (2093–854, n=2947)no settled market84% (21–4, n=25)68% (86–41, n=127)
Consensus PnL$387K—$297K$305K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #714PM monthly #118was PM monthly #666
Sides with the consensus52% (165 of 319 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
  • NBA +31 pts n=47, ROI +29%
  • Esports +42 pts n=13, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=20, ROI +23%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—95% of 20 at avg 73¢, ROI +22%100% of 84 at avg 68¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—5% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—10% (won 100% of 2)15% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—15% (won 100% of 3)37% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—70% (won 100% of 14)46% (won 100% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpiammillionaireMD14Zzzz87
Norway vs. Wales: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $957——Over $15K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $1.2K
Romania vs. Poland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $196——Over $248
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
same side · consensus Denmark
Portugal $1.5K——Portugal $329
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus 1win
1win $4——1win $153