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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpPexter54321primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1–1, n=2)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #17was PM monthly #997PM monthly #51PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (289 of 438 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)62% (181 of 290 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 2 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)0%41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)50% (won 0% of 1)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)50% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

92 on the same side, 68 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpPexter54321primmRN1
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $56K——Yes $12K
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K——Yes $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $13K
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K——No $9.0K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K——Over $12
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K——No $8.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K——No $8.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.6K——Under $12
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K——No $66
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $380——No $7.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1K——Over $3.1K
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.4K——Under $8
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.5K——Under $1.9K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.0K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha $5.5K——Arsenal FC $75
Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.6K——Under $3.1K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $83——No $4.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $45——No $4.5K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $1.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $628——No $3.9K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.2K——Over $16
Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios
opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon
Tomas Barrios $134——Lautaro Midon $4.0K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317——No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K——Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K——Yes $24
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.3K——Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $29
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Under $6
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.0K——Over $638
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $36——No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $189——No $1.4K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23——No $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $244——No $1.3K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $18——No $1.5K
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K——Yes $63
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——No $238
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $918——No $273
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $713——Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213——No $677
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $625——No $101
Exact Score: Bristol City FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $717——Yes $7