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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLula202626ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)67% (2–1, n=3)63% (990–573, n=1563)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$71K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #631PM monthly #105PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (299 of 393 open)no open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)65% (128 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 2 at avg 55¢, ROI +54%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)50% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 100% of 1)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

92 on the same side, 50 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLula202626ndb1RN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $9.2K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.0K——Over $10K
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13K——No $3.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $13K——Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $9.0K——Yes $690
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.5K——Over $722
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.7K——Over $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6K——Yes $153
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.0K——Under $532
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.6K——No $890
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $581——Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7K——Over $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $560——Over $2.0K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5K——Over $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4K——Under $37
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $518——No $1.1K
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3K——No $262
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38——No $1.4K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $979——Under $215
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $826——Yes $239
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $995——Yes $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $812——Yes $163
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $929——Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $900——Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $880——Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $844——Over $2
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $663——Yes $137
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $165——Under $596
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $686——Lisa Pigato $43
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $619——Yes $10
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $440——Over $179
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $311——Yes $14
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
FC Red Bull Salzburg $313——RSC Anderlecht $10
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60——Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
Inter Club d'Escaldes $282——FK Crvena zvezda $2
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245——Yes $6
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $108——Warriors $130
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $197——No $31
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $50——Under $143
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $144——Over $1
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $133——Over $2
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Luciana Perry
Sloane Stephens $46——Luciana Perry $54
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29