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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Flaznorp | KnightDasCapital | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6582–6102, n=12684) | 50% (5298–5255, n=10553) | 47% (14184–15686, n=29870) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $94K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (103 of 132 open) | no open consensus position | 43% (12 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=5591 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 52% of 6810 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 17% (won 19% of 1143) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 29% (won 41% of 2005) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 30% (won 59% of 2049) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 24% (won 80% of 1613) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | KnightDasCapital | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Warriors (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $4.9K | — | Warriors $5 |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $4.1K | — | Heat $162 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | Diletta Cherubini $281 | — | Ipek Oz $698 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $7.5K | — | Warriors $380 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $4.4K | — | Warriors $93 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Under $453 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | — | Under $384 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $1.8K | — | Warriors $85 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |