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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DanielsDixonHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)36% (4–7, n=11)54% (361–305, n=666)57% (37–28, n=65)50% (7–7, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$765$444K$440K$656K
Tracked asPM monthly #879PM monthly #6PM monthly #33 + pinnedwas PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)76% (125 of 165 open)50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%100% of 37 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%86% of 7 at avg 44¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%1% (won 100% of 2)3% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 62)32% (won 100% of 12)57% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢88% (won 100% of 7)59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 100% of 16)29% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up0%8% (won 100% of 15)22% (won 100% of 8)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDanielsDixonHomeRunHazardrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Jaguars vs. Titans
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $840Jaguars $13K——
Patriots vs. Lions
same side · consensus Lions
Patriots $410Patriots $4.1K——
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $99Under $3.0K——
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $650Colts $1.1K——
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $520Bulls $445——