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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$638K$3.0M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #56PM monthly #55PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (85 of 137 open)54% (103 of 189 open)no open consensus position65% (113 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGolf −2 pts, n=108———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1341)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 46% of 3607)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3523)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 86% of 1699)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Alex de Minaur $1.3K—Tomas Etcheverry $56K
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19KYes $104——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $18KYes $41——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15KYes $59——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
opposite sides · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Alexandre Aubriot $2.5K—Henri Haupt $54
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Eric Vanshelboim $663—Ignacio Parisca $302
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $663
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
opposite sides · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Bruno Pujol Navarro $67—Iliyan Radulov $612
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Robert Guna $24—Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $326Yes $4——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $106—Under $31
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Lisa Pigato $46—Gaia Maduzzi $56
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
opposite sides · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
—Daria Yesypchuk $12—Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $10K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $29—Over $7.8K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Joanna Garland $1.2K—Joanna Garland $5.3K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.0KYes $117——
Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2K—Yes $458
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $811Yes $215——
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $739Yes $3——
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $681Yes $1——
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $415Yes $117——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $376Yes $69——
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $368Yes $42——
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $364Yes $32——
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
same side · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $37—Pia Lovric $250
W50 Heraklion: Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $94—Nuria Brancaccio $15
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18Yes $4——