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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$638K$3.3M$5.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus63% (86 of 137 open)67% (200 of 299 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicGolf −2 pts, n=108Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1341)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 46% of 3607)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3523)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 86% of 1699)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpjoseph00677primm
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $23Over $157——
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester City FC
RB Leipzig $1.7KRB Leipzig $114——
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
same side · consensus RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig $1.2KRB Leipzig $14——
Spread: SK Slavia Praha (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha $520SK Slavia Praha $107——