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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (1113–899, n=2012)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$37K$3.2M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #1000PM monthly #87PM monthly #47PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (17 of 28 open)78% (7 of 9 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +13 pts n=608, ROI +13%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won71% of 620 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 90)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 57% of 103)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 80% of 225)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 94% of 202)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketByteBadger93ferrariChampions2026primmRN1
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $23K—Under $905
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $20K—Under $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
—FC Bayern München $188—1. FSV Mainz 05 $48
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $2.6K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Magda Linette $6.5K—Magda Linette $3.7K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $44—Bianca Andreescu $8.4K
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.7K—Under $79
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $834—Carlo Alberto Caniato $5
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $246—Under $14