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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | pagliacci4 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | no settled market | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | — | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 63% (35 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | — | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | — | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | — | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | — | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | pagliacci4 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Notre Dame (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $210 | Miami (FL) $23K |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $169K | Notre Dame $65K |
| Spread: Michigan (-13.5) same side · consensus Michigan State | — | — | Michigan State $15K | Michigan State $5 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | — | — | Notre Dame $52 | Notre Dame $4.1K |
| Spread: Florida (-3.5) same side · consensus Florida | — | — | Oklahoma $34 | Oklahoma $30 |