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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | morito181 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 69% (533–239, n=772) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $1.0M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #189 + pinned | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (76 of 114 open) | 76% (118 of 156 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 59% (120 of 202 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=19 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 71% of 920 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 22% (won 6% of 201) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 5% (won 43% of 47) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 6% (won 54% of 57) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 67% (won 96% of 615) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.