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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | laidaodao | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 67% (30–15, n=45) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $255 | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #137 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 61% (137 of 226 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 32 at avg 73¢, ROI −1% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 22% (won 0% of 7) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 3% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 75% (won 92% of 24) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | laidaodao | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | — | — | Pelicans $136 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | — | Pelicans $130 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $2.4K | Central Michigan $12K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $8.7K | Central Michigan $851 |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.4K | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Ball State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $1.6K | Ball State $191 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.2K | Over $534 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $793 | UMass $804 |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $589 | Sacramento State $794 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $437 | Sacramento State $75 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $283 | — | — | Pelicans $154 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $191 | Over $54 |
| Spread: Ball State (-5.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $3.0K | Ball State $636 |
| Spread: Ball State (-4.5) same side · consensus UMass | — | — | UMass $40 | UMass $2.4K |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) same side · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Sacramento State $252 | Sacramento State $507 |
| Spread: Toledo (-9.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $4 | Toledo $471 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | — | — | Grizzlies $118 |