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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | l..messi | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $84K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (37 of 43 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | l..messi | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | — | Texans $8.5K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $7.0K | — | — | 76ers $1.2K |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $423K | — | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $304K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | — | Packers $489 |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $4.0K |