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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5
Record (consensus markets)58% (73–52, n=125)47% (728–821, n=1549)49% (21–22, n=43)
Consensus PnL$2.5M$718K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #935
Sides with the consensus40% (6 of 15 open)63% (54 of 86 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +45 pts n=14, ROI +46%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 29 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 100% of 23)7% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 100% of 25)34% (won 100% of 161)34% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 33)52% (won 100% of 243)28% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)9% (won 100% of 42)31% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighsashasasha5
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $39KHornets $41K—
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $2.7KLakers $11K—
Spread: Rams (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $748Cardinals $685—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $1.2KClippers $3.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $93Suns $3.3K—