← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 57% (349–268, n=617) | 50% (1144–1155, n=2299) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $66K | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #297 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 78% (50 of 64 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=87 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 53% of 572 at avg 48¢, ROI +6% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 37% (won 15% of 211) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 55% of 94) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 65% of 92) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 31% (won 93% of 175) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32K | Yes $1.6K | — | — |