Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighSynthesizerchan
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)33% (2–4, n=6)43% (143–191, n=334)no settled market
Consensus PnL$779K$320K$128K-$94
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #19PM monthly #37PM monthly #954
Sides with the consensus35% (6 of 17 open)33% (1 of 3 open)59% (47 of 79 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)0%6% (won 100% of 9)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 70% of 10)42% (won 100% of 63)—
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)76% (won 85% of 41)40% (won 100% of 61)—
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)6% (won 100% of 3)12% (won 100% of 18)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghighSynthesizerchan
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $1.3K—Suns $48K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $124KUnder $14K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.9KTrail Blazers $52K——
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $47K—Trail Blazers $338—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $53Kings $43K——
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $406—Kings $13K—
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $4.5K—Kings $5.4K—
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Clippers $311—Clippers $62—