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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026NM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)56% (8425–6571, n=14996)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M-$206K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #439PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus91% (31 of 34 open)56% (5 of 9 open)58% (25 of 43 open)48% (19 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%100% of 5269 at avg 72¢, ROI +29%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 100% of 274)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 100% of 930)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)18% (won 100% of 960)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)59% (won 100% of 3105)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026NM-PRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $1.2KOver $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $216Cavaliers $708
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.1KUnder $200—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $281No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $146No $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Max Dahlin $161Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $173Lakers $248
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $163Raptors $116
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $67Over $129