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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JabJabichRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)35% (3641–6649, n=10290)60% (176–115, n=291)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$2.9M$109K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #506PM monthly #274PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (27 of 35 open)63% (17 of 27 open)62% (8 of 13 open)53% (50 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—86% of 217 at avg 59¢, ROI +14%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—8% (won 67% of 18)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)—17% (won 78% of 37)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)—49% (won 86% of 106)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—26% (won 96% of 56)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JabJabichRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $215K—Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194KJaguars $42K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92KRavens $12K—Ravens $5.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293Ravens $716—Ravens $1.2K
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $21K—Oilers $649
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $5.2K—Florida Atlantic $14K
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $13K—UTSA $790
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $9.7K—Southern Miss $34
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837——Jaguars $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3KUnder $752——
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K——Jaguars $180
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $103—Florida Atlantic $762
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3—Under $326
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.7K—Under $3.2K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7K——Warriors $520
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $888
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $810—Southern Miss $434
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $350—Jaguars $85
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $24—Over $231