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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorppvc975
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)99% (20320–251, n=20571)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.9M$221K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #739
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (4 of 6 open)71% (89 of 126 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto ±0 pts, n=298
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 11293 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)1% (won 11% of 76)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)0% (won 83% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)0% (won 89% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)99% (won 100% of 11196)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorppvc975
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Renta Tokuda
—Keisuke Saitoh $31KKeisuke Saitoh $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs Blake Ellis
same side · consensus Bernard Tomic
—Bernard Tomic $2.5KBernard Tomic $1.1K—