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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankerrormarginferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)54% (199–170, n=369)35% (3645–6671, n=10316)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$46K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #796PM monthly #478PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)no open consensus position72% (13 of 18 open)58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Esports +31 pts n=229, ROI +19%
  • MMA +26 pts n=27, ROI +18%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%93% of 256 at avg 63¢, ROI +19%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)4% (won 56% of 9)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 87% of 52)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)47% (won 95% of 120)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)29% (won 99% of 75)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankerrormarginferrariChampions2026RN1
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Zhibek Kulambayeva
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
——Zhibek Kulambayeva $36KMai Hontama $30K
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
——Simona Waltert $418Lucrezia Stefanini $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
——Sorana Cirstea $650Mary Stoiana $559
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
——Remy Bertola $86Kilian Feldbausch $257
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
——Coleman Wong $5.2KColeman Wong $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
——Tiphanie Lemaitre $717Tiphanie Lemaitre $4