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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankduratio12omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)49% (31–32, n=63)50% (15546–15642, n=31188)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$14K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #881PM monthly #143PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (26 of 34 open)50% (1 of 2 open)51% (62 of 121 open)56% (50 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%89% of 65 at avg 55¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 78% of 9)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)31% (won 80% of 20)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)29% (won 95% of 19)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)26% (won 100% of 17)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankduratio12omnibus-076daaRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Ravens $71Jaguars $7.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $27Ravens $1.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K——Jaguars $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837——Jaguars $2.3K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.2K—Under $410—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $167—
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $6No $1.7K
Flyers vs. Rangers
opposite sides · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $864Flyers $112
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $8Ipek Oz $678
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6Under $446
South Carolina State vs. Howard
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina State
——South Carolina State $5Howard $188
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K—Yes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—Yes $223—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6K—Yes $71—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7K——Warriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $1.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $103Canucks $867
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $65Under $649
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Ivan Gakhov $204Ivan Gakhov $223
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
——Canucks $17Canucks $95
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
——Penguins $9Penguins $1