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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbreezybetsgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)58% (22–16, n=38)41% (18–26, n=44)50% (5–5, n=10)55% (216–179, n=395)
Consensus PnL$837K-$1.5K$430K$290K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #808PM monthly #17PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)43% (10 of 23 open)no open consensus position62% (82 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%—100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢0%—0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢57% (won 100% of 13)—20% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢39% (won 100% of 9)—80% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 100% of 1)—0%10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbreezybetsgoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $285——Nuggets $26K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $22K——Thunder $4.6K
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Packers $205—Vikings $5.6K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Trail Blazers $676——Thunder $4.3K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $133——Thunder $3.7K
Predators vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
—Predators $645—Ducks $2.2K
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Lakers $3.3K——Lakers $20K
Utah vs. Golden Knights
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Golden Knights $717—Golden Knights $15K
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $17—Thunder $3.6K
Avalanche vs. Senators
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Senators $885—Senators $1.3K
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $468——Grizzlies $1.3K
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $562—Kraken $862
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Mavericks
—Timberwolves $249—Timberwolves $66