PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daasainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$13.4M$3.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1Hand-pickedPM monthly #17was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)53% (16 of 30 open)49% (18 of 37 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)8% (won 58% of 836)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5335)21% (won 85% of 2140)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8653)38% (won 94% of 3856)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7361)32% (won 99% of 3242)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1omnibus-076daasainttroplay
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $39KSpirit $227—
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302Arthur Fils $7.7K—
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Linda Klimovicova $418Gaia Maduzzi $140—
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $111Mia Ristic $2—
Will MGS Panserraïkós win on 2026-10-27?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $49No $12—
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $4.9KMOUZ $4—
MGS Panserraïkós vs. GS Níki Vólou: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $50Under $60—
Will MGS Panserraïkós vs. GS Níki Vólou end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4Yes $17—