PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)69% (43–19, n=62)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$13.4M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)53% (16 of 30 open)100% (2 of 2 open)49% (18 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5335)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8653)54% (won 52% of 114)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7361)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $39K—Spirit $227
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302—Arthur Fils $7.7K
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Linda Klimovicova $418—Gaia Maduzzi $140
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $111—Mia Ristic $2
Will MGS Panserraïkós win on 2026-10-27?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $49—No $12
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $4.9K—MOUZ $4
MGS Panserraïkós vs. GS Níki Vólou: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $50—Under $60
Will MGS Panserraïkós vs. GS Níki Vólou end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4—Yes $17