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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $14.8M | $239K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | PM monthly #194 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (79 of 114 open) | 62% (32 of 52 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $157 | — | Yes $69K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $242K | — | No $2 |