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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1sainttroplayUnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)no settled market38% (68–112, n=180)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$14.8M—$239K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinned—PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)63% (29 of 46 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
not computed yet
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic———Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—51% of 179 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2538)—19% (won 15% of 34)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5565)—27% (won 45% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9017)—29% (won 60% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)33% (won 100% of 8250)—25% (won 75% of 44)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.