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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 47% (12761–14165, n=26926) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $14.8M | $240K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #141 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 69% (44 of 64 open) | 67% (79 of 118 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2.1K | — | No $4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $10 | — | Yes $4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $240K | — | Yes $302K |