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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 38% (68–111, n=179) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M | $318K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #140 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | 48% (16 of 33 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2 | — | — | Yes $4 |