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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (553–663, n=1216)50% (786–771, n=1557)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)no settled market
Consensus PnL$11.2M-$4.4K$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #789PM monthly #24 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus54% (20 of 37 open)61% (37 of 61 open)64% (25 of 39 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)—
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Katie Boulter $1.3KClaire Liu $45K—
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
opposite sides · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Jeline Vandromme $66Robin Montgomery $322—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $16Deborah Chiesa $21—
Taranto: Filippo Romano vs Peter Makk
opposite sides · consensus Peter Makk
—Peter Makk $4Filippo Romano $29—
Taranto: Loann Massard vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Thomas Faurel
—Thomas Faurel $937Thomas Faurel $7.1K—
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Marcus Walters
same side · consensus Felix Gill
—Felix Gill $1.9KFelix Gill $3.7K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $2.5KQuentin Halys $2.6K—
Taranto: Leonardo Rossi vs Remy Bertola
same side · consensus Remy Bertola
—Leonardo Rossi $2Leonardo Rossi $12—