← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 74% (628–218, n=846) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $8.3K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #922 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 59% (10 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 15% of 92) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 8% (won 44% of 34) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 7% (won 87% of 31) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 95% of 284) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Jesetrading | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $66K | Yes $9.6K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | Yes $158 | — | — |