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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpkdvlklkvlsklkfsndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (20–22, n=42)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$565K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #291PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)71% (121 of 170 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Tennis −5 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%49% of 41 at avg 56¢, ROI −14%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)15% (won 33% of 6)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)27% (won 45% of 11)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)29% (won 42% of 12)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)29% (won 67% of 12)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpkdvlklkvlsklkfsndb1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K76ers $806——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $29K——
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $40076ers $576——
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49KColts $63——
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14KBulls $1.5K——