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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677waierma
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)75% (80–26, n=106)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #838
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)71% (174 of 245 open)no open consensus position60% (9 of 15 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)70% (won 95% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677waierma
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.2K—Yes $10
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $10
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $758—Yes $10
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $454—Yes $10
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $363—Yes $10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23K—Yes $10
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19K—Yes $10
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $15—Yes $10
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3—Yes $10