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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677suitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$3.3M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #8PM monthly #791
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (99 of 136 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677suitcase6628
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.6K—Over $108
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $463
Jazz vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $10K—Timberwolves $2.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $6.7K
Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Mavericks $1.2K—Mavericks $156