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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6585–6162, n=12747)45% (10–12, n=22)95% (13678–685, n=14363)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$5.3M$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #960
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (188 of 272 open)no open consensus position55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677WagerWizard
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2K—Over $12
Shaanxi Union FC vs. Guangxi Hengchen FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $14
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $271—Yes $5
Shenzhen Juniors FC vs. Suzhou Dongwu: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $14—Over $40
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5—Over $40
Will Nantong Zhiyun win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.9K—Yes $80
Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $225
Nantong Zhiyun vs. Foshan Nanshi FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Over $48
Ningbo Professional FC vs. Jiangxi Dingnan United: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Over $17
Guandong GZ-Power FC vs. Nanjing City: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $220—Over $56