← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | no settled market | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | — | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #611 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | 62% (149 of 242 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (8 of 14 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 50% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | hideki.hirata | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | Pacers $3.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | Pelicans $26 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | Pelicans $262 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | Pacers $233 | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $195K | Pistons $3.9K | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $61K | Jazz $664 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $944 | Pistons $2.2K | — | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $343 | — | Eastern Michigan $2.4K |