Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)65% (671–365, n=1036)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$107K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #21Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus52% (12 of 23 open)61% (135 of 220 open)75% (12 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%58% of 1428 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)26% (won 21% of 369)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)23% (won 45% of 324)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)23% (won 71% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)29% (won 92% of 407)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugazi
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30KPelicans $1.6K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19KPelicans $1.8K—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $323Pelicans $2.0K—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $75KJazz $6.2K—